The Prediction of Suicide: Why Is It so Difficult?

George E. Murphy, M.D.Authors Info & Affiliations

Publication: American Journal of Psychotherapy

Volume 38, Number 3

https://doi.org/10.1176/appi.psychotherapy.1984.38.3.341

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Abstract

Efforts to develop patient profiles predicting future suicide fall prey to an inexorable constraint in the statistical properties of rare events: they identify unacceptably large numbers of false positives. Clinical recognition of persons at increased risk of suicide is nevertheless feasible. Through appropriate diagnosis and treatment, suicide prevention is possible.

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Information & Authors

Information

Published In

American Journal of Psychotherapy

Volume 38 • Number 3 • 1984, pp. 317–468

Pages: 341 - 349

PubMed: 6385733

History

Published in print: 1984, pp. 317–468

Published online: 30 April 2018

Authors

Details

George E. Murphy, M.D.^†

St. Louis, Mo.

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Notes

Presented at the 24th Emil A. Gutheil Memorial Conference of the Association for the Advancement of Psychotherapy, November 5-6, 1983, New York, N.Y.

^†

Director, Outpatient Psychiatric Services, Department of Psychiatry, Washington University School of Medicine, 4940 Audubon Avenue, St. Louis, Missouri 63110.

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The Prediction of Suicide: Why Is It so Difficult?

Abstract

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