Although the suicide rate in the U.S. military has been historically below that of the civilian population, it has increased dramatically since 2002 (
1). From 2013 to 2018, the incidence of suicide deaths increased from 18.5 to 24.8 per 100,000 service members and is now comparable to that of the civilian population, when adjusted for age and sex (
1). Studies such as the Army Study to Assess Risk and Resilience in Servicemembers (Army STARRS) (
2) have begun elucidating risk factors for suicidal behavior among military personnel (
3–
5); however, the role of unmet need for mental health treatment or support (defined here as not receiving help for mental health problems despite perceiving a need for it) (
6,
7) in subsequent suicide outcomes has yet to be investigated.
Understanding the potential impact of unmet need is important, given evidence that service members perceive numerous barriers to mental health treatment, particularly attitudinal barriers (e.g., wanting to solve problems by themselves) and structural barriers (e.g., treatment access issues) (
8–
15). Furthermore, soldiers with unmet needs may be especially vulnerable to mental health deterioration when confronted with stressors, such as those associated with deployment and postdeployment reintegration (
16). In severe cases, such deterioration could lead to the onset of suicidal thoughts or a suicide attempt (SA) (
17,
18).
The Army STARRS Pre-Post Deployment Study (PPDS) provides an opportunity to assess the association between predeployment treatment or support needs and future suicidal ideation (SI) and SA. The present analysis of PPDS data builds on evidence from previous cross-sectional investigations by evaluating the prospective association of unmet need with SI and SA, while adjusting for other risk factors, such as lifetime history of SI or SA and severity of deployment stress (
19,
20). We hypothesized that an unmet need for mental health treatment or support before deployment would be associated with increased risk for SI and SA during and after deployment. We expected these effects to be more robust for perideployment outcomes than for more distal postdeployment outcomes. Finally, we explored relationships between specific treatment barriers and suicidality to determine whether soldiers’ reports of certain barriers may help identify those at particularly heightened risk.
Results
Sample Characteristics at Predeployment Baseline
Most study participants in the sample were men (N=4,358, 94%), and the mean±SD age was 26.3±6.1 years. Fifty-five percent (N=2,561) of the participants were married, 36% (N=1,684) never married, and 8% (N=375) divorced, separated, or widowed. The sample was 63% (N=2,921) non-Hispanic White, 15% (N=702) Hispanic, 10% (N=451) non-Hispanic Black, 4% (N=173) Asian, 2% (N=70) Pacific Islander, 1% (N=49) American Indian, 4% (N=195) more than one race, and 1% (N=44) of other race-ethnicity. Overall, 6% (N=289) of participants had a GED, 72% (N=3,345) a high school diploma, and 21% (N=987) a college degree. The mean deployment stress score was 4.8±2.7. Lifetime SI without SA was reported by 449 (10%) soldiers and lifetime SA by 76 (2%) soldiers.
At predeployment, 3,621 (78%) reported no past-year need for mental health treatment or support, 217 (5%) reported ongoing treatment or support, 349 (8%) reported pursuing treatment or support and stopping all treatment after their problem improved, 235 (5%) reported not seeking treatment or support despite perceived need, and 167 (4%) reported pursuing treatment or support and stopping all treatment without improvement of their problem.
Among the 733 (16%) soldiers who sought help, 336 (46%) reported receiving treatment only from a medical or mental health professional (e.g., psychiatrist, other medical doctor, psychologist, counselor, or social worker) (
21), 207 (28%) only from a support group or spiritual adviser, and 190 (26%) from both professional and nonprofessional sources.
Association of Predeployment Need for Treatment or Support With Suicidality Outcomes
Table 1 shows the number of soldiers reporting SI during deployment, past-30-day SI at T2, past-30-day SI at T3, and SA during or after deployment, stratified by predeployment need for treatment or support. (For stratification by the type of treatment or support reported, see the
online supplement.)
SI during deployment.
Compared with participants who did not report any need for mental health treatment or support before deployment (at T0), significantly greater odds of SI during deployment were found among participants who were still receiving treatment or support at T0 (AOR=1.78, 95% CI=1.13–2.79, p=0.014) or had not pursued treatment or support despite needing it (AOR=1.73, 95% CI=1.02–2.93, p=0.043). Participants who sought mental health treatment or support before deployment and stopped after their problem had improved, as well as those who stopped treatment or support without improvement, did not have significantly increased risks for SI during deployment, compared with those who did not report any need for mental health treatment or support before deployment.
SI at T2.
Significantly greater odds of past-30-day SI at 2–3 months postdeployment (T2) were observed among participants who at T0 were still receiving treatment or support (AOR=2.51, 95% CI=1.18–5.34, p=0.018), had not pursued treatment or support despite needing it (AOR=2.08, 95% CI=1.18–3.67, p=0.013), or had stopped treatment or support without improvement (AOR=2.35, 95% CI=1.17–4.74, p=0.018), compared with participants who did not report any need for mental health treatment or support before deployment. Those who sought mental health treatment or support before deployment and stopped after improvement of their problem did not have a significantly higher SI risk at T2 than those who reported no past-year need for mental health treatment or support.
SI at T3.
Significantly greater odds of past-30-day SI at 8–9 months postdeployment (T3) were observed among participants who at T0 were still receiving treatment or support (AOR=2.75, 95% CI=1.58–4.81, p=0.001), had stopped treatment or support after improvement (AOR=1.71, 95% CI=1.03–2.85, p=0.038), or had not pursued treatment or support despite needing it (AOR=2.01, 95% CI=1.16–3.48, p=0.014), compared with participants who did not report any need for mental health treatment or support before deployment. Those who reported stopping treatment or support without improvement had no significantly increased SI risk at T3.
SA during or after deployment.
Significantly greater odds of SA (i.e., any attempt made during or after deployment) were observed among participants who at T0 were still receiving treatment or support (AOR=5.99, 95% CI=2.05–17.50, p=0.002), had stopped treatment or support after improvement (AOR=3.43, 95% CI=1.42–8.28, p=0.007), or had not pursued treatment or support despite needing it (AOR=3.65, 95% CI=1.67–8.00, p=0.002), compared with participants who did not report any need for mental health treatment or support before deployment. Those who stopped predeployment mental health treatment or support without improvement of their problem did not differ significantly in SA risk during or after deployment from those who reported no past-year need for mental health treatment or support.
Association of Specific Treatment Barriers With SI
In the exploratory subgroup analysis of respondents who reported not seeking treatment or support despite needing it, none of the associations between specific treatment barriers and SI outcomes were significant at p<0.0038 (
Table 2). At an uncorrected p<0.05, thinking that treatment or support would not be helpful and worrying that it would harm one’s career were each significantly associated with SI during deployment and at T3. Inability to make an appointment was associated with SI during deployment, and high treatment cost was associated with SI at T3. “Other” reason was associated with SI during deployment and at T2. Given the low frequency (N=5) of SA reported in the subgroup, tests of association with SA were not conducted.
Discussion
This study examined the association between predeployment need for mental health treatment or support and subsequent SI and SA among U.S. Army soldiers. We found that soldiers preparing to deploy to Afghanistan who were either in ongoing treatment or support or who had not sought help despite needing it exhibited an elevated SI risk during and through at least 8–9 months after deployment. Additionally, soldiers who discontinued treatment or support without improvement exhibited an elevated SI risk 2–3 months after deployment. Together, these findings suggest that unmet or ongoing treatment or support needs at predeployment are associated with increased SI risk during deployment and reintegration.
On the other hand, soldiers who sought treatment or support and stopped after an improvement of their problem did not display elevated SI risk during or 2–3 months after deployment. Although the analysis did not evaluate the effects of specific types of treatment and support, this finding is consistent with evidence that interventions such as cognitive-behavioral therapy have beneficial effects on suicidal thoughts and behaviors, lasting several months after completion of treatment (
27). Furthermore, in contrast with our finding of increased SI risk among soldiers with unmet or ongoing predeployment need for treatment or support, the lack of increased SI among those who indicated that their predeployment treatment or support needs had been met suggests that successfully addressing needs before deployment may mitigate SI risk among soldiers who perceive a need for treatment or support (at least through 2–3 months postdeployment).
By 8–9 months postdeployment, however, SI risk was elevated in the group of participants who stopped treatment or support after improvement of their problem, whereas no significant increase in risk was apparent at that time point for those who had stopped predeployment treatment or support without improvement of their problem. This counterintuitive finding may relate to the roughly 20-month interval between the assessment of need for treatment or support and the T3 outcome. Perhaps intervening events (e.g., life stressors or new treatments) affected outcomes at T3 more than did predeployment factors such as the perceived success of predeployment treatment or support.
We observed a significantly elevated risk for SA during or after deployment among those who reported ongoing treatment or support before deployment, stopping treatment or support after improvement, or not seeking help despite needing it, but not among those who reported stopping treatment or support without improvement. Given that all but 11 reported SAs occurred after the T2 survey, the pooled SA outcome variable primarily reflected attempts made >1 year after baseline, which, similar to the T3 SI outcome, might have been influenced more by recent events (e.g., stressors, new treatments) than by predeployment treatment or support. Furthermore, given the rarity of SA, CIs for adjusted odds of SA were large, and the study may have been underpowered to detect effects across all groups with a need for treatment or support (particularly in subgroups with small samples). This caveat could also apply to the interpretation of nonsignificant effects from the SI models, because suicidal thoughts were also relatively infrequent. The corollary is that statistically significant effects were robust; “significantly elevated odds” reflected increases in the odds of SI outcomes by up to 2.75 and in the odds of SA by between 3.43 and 5.99.
In the analysis of treatment barriers reported by soldiers who did not seek help for their problems despite needing it, no individual barrier was found to be associated with SI outcomes at the Bonferroni-corrected probability level. The Bonferroni correction is a conservative procedure to reduce type I error and may thereby increase the risk for type II error (
28). When using an uncorrected α=0.05, we found that two attitudinal barriers (thinking treatment would not be helpful and worrying treatment would harm one’s career) were each significantly associated with SI during deployment and at the T3 follow-up and that two structural barriers (cost and inability to make an appointment) were each associated with SI at one time point each. Although cost as a barrier is surprising, given participants’ access to TRICARE, it is possible that career-related concerns about receiving mental health treatment encouraged some soldiers to seek care from civilian sources.
It is possible that significant associations between treatment barriers and suicidality outcomes would be detected with increased statistical power (e.g., using a larger sample or validated scales assessing attitudinal or structural barriers rather than single-item ratings). A better understanding of how treatment barriers relate to mental health outcomes might help identify soldiers with treatment or support needs who are at a particularly heightened risk for SI or SA. Future research should also aim to identify effective strategies for reducing barriers to care in the active duty population.
As alluded to previously, one limitation of this study was that, aside from deployment stressors, our models did not capture effects of potentially impactful events occurring after baseline, such as nondeployment stressors or subsequent treatments. Another limitation was that, although our models accounted for the effects of previous SI and SA on subsequent suicidality, they did not account for psychiatric diagnoses that may be risk factors for suicidality among service members (
29–
32). Soldiers in ongoing treatment or support at predeployment baseline may have had the most significant needs or most severe mental disorders, which could explain why adjusted odds of SI and SA tended to be greatest in this group. Similarly, perceived improvement of problems after treatment or support may have differed depending on the type or severity of the predeployment disorder. Although it was beyond the scope of this investigation, it will be important for future studies to determine whether the effects of need for treatment or support on suicidality are mediated by specific mental disorders or comorbid conditions.
Furthermore, this study defined mental health treatment and support broadly, to include both care from mental health professionals and support from other sources (e.g., self-help groups). The type and severity of perceived need for mental health treatment or support were not assessed, nor was the quality or intensity of the help received. The study instead relied on self-reported improvement of mental health problems after treatment or support as an indicator of needs being successfully met. Additionally, this study relied on self-reports of treatment or support needs, help seeking, SI, and SA, all of which may be affected by underreporting (
5,
33,
34). Finally, the study findings may not generalize to members of other military service branches or to personnel deployed to other settings (e.g., peacekeeping missions).